View Demographic Latino. The seat and majority calculations are lifted directly from the 2024 UK Parliament swingometer.. Read the poll toplines. The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Pennsylvania +43. States. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Overall, though, they did worse than in 2016. Brexit Polls. Preferred Prime Minister. The 2020 United States presidential election was the 59th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. Latest US election news including Donald Trump, Joe Biden, political debates, polling results, policies, scandals and other political events. 2020 Presidential Election Polls This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. On November 3, the day of the 2020 presidential election, the Democratic party nominee Joe Biden was polling narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican president Donald Trump in key battleground states, although his lead had narrowed since earlier in the campaign. Latest Election 2020 Polls. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. Which 2020 election polls were most — and least — accurate? US election 2020… Drawing on its more than 80-year history, Gallup has identified key indicators to put the 2020 election in historical context. North Carolina +48. Published 13 November 2020. 2019 European Parliament Election. Share. Share page. The Democrats gained control from the 2018 Midterm Elections with 232 seats. close. American Election Eve Poll 2020. Indeed, we have already begun to do so. POLITICO Europe tracks polling data for every European election and country. Pew Research Center and other polling organizations will devote a great deal of effort to understanding what happened. Download full report . Michigan +54. Overlapping sample with the previous IBD/TIPP poll, but more information available regarding sample size, With the only options as Biden, Trump and "someone else" and additional weighting based on respondents' estimated chances of voting, If the only candidates were Biden and Trump, Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size, Overlapping sample with the previous Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports poll, but more information available regarding sample size, Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size, Results generated with high Democratic turnout model, Results generated with high Republican turnout model, "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with no voters, With voters who lean towards a given candidate, "Someone else" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%, "Some other candidate" with 1%; "Undecided"/would not vote with 6%, "Another candidate" with 6%; "Refused" with 1%, "None of these" with 0%; "Other" with no voters, "Neither" with 0%; "Other" with no voters, Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight, "Some other candidate" with 3%; West (B) with 0%, With only Biden, Trump and "Some other candidate" available, "Someone else" with 4%; "Refused" with 2%, "Someone else" with 3%; "Refused" with 0%, "Another candidate" with 7%; "Skipped/Refused" with 1%, Registered Voters subsample of full sample of 2019 adults, "Other candidate or neither candidate" with 3%, If only Biden and Trump were candidates and including voters who lean towards a given candidate, "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%, "Someone else/don't know/no opinion" with 7%, Results with tighter Likely Voter screen; additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight, Sample size not yet released, but results with looser Likely Voter screen, "Someone else/don't know/no opinion" with 6%, Kanye West (affiliated with the Birthday Party, but listed in the poll as an independent) with 1%, With voters who lean towards a given candidate if only Biden and Trump were candidates, "Some other candidate" with 3%; West (B) with 2%, "Someone else" with 5%; "Refused" with 1%, Including voters who lean towards a given candidate, "Another candidate" with 10%; "Skipped/Refused" with 1%, "Refused" with 2%; "someone else" with 1%, "Some other candidate" with 8%; would not vote with 2%, "Other candidate" with 2%; "no one" with <1%, Response without naming third party candidates, "Some other candidate" with 4%; "no one" with 0%, "Other candidate" with 5.6%; would not vote with 0.5%, "Another candidate" with 3%; "would not vote" with 2%, 92% of a sample of 1,886 registered voters, "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%, "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote and "refused" with 1%, "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 1%, Would not vote with 13%; "Third party candidate" with 6%, "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 0%, "Third party candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 1%, "Other" and "Neither" with 1%; would not vote with 0%, "Other candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 3%, "Some other candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 2%, "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 2%, "Some other candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 2%, "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 2%, "Refused" with 3%; "someone else" and would not vote with 1%, "Third party/write-in" with 4%; would not vote with no voters, Voting intention for an exclusively vote-by-mail election, "Third party candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 2%, "Some other candidate" with 7%; would not vote with 2%, "Other candidate" with 3%; "no one" with 1%, Justin Amash with 5%; "Other candidate" with 1%; "no one" with 1%, "Third party candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 1%, "Third party candidate" with 8%; "refused" with 1%, "Would vote for a third party/write-in candidate" with 2%; would not vote with no voters, "A third party candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 0%, Justin Amash with 1%; "Someone else" with 5%; "Would not vote" with 6%, "Someone else" with 5%; "Would not vote" with 5%, Vote shares listed as proportion of decided voters for candidate X + proportion of leaners for candidate X * proportion of voters who are leaners, "Third party candidate" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 2%, "Other candidate" with 5%; "No one" with 1%, "Someone else" with 3%; wouldn't vote with 2%, "Other" with 5%; "prefer not to answer" with 1%, "Third party candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 2%, Percentages calculated as listed percentage in sample without undecided voters * Percentage of voters who are not undecided, "Would vote for a third party/write-in candidate" with 4%, "Neither/other" with 7%; would not vote with 4%, "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 3%, "Neither/other" with 8%; wouldn't vote with 2%, "Someone else" with 1%; wouldn't vote with 2%, "Other" with 2%; "would not vote with" 4%, "Someone else/third party" with 4%; "would not vote with" 1%, "Other" with 0%; "Neither" with 2%; "would not vote with" 1%, "Neither/other" with 10%; would not vote with 2%, "Neither/other" with 8%; "would not vote with" 3%, "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 3%, Sample size for registered voters sourced from FiveThirtyEight, Other with 0%; neither with 2%; would not vote with 1%, "Neither/other" with 10%; wouldn't vote with 7%, "Neither/other" with 12%; wouldn't vote with 8%, "Someone else" with 2%; wouldn't vote with 2%, "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 2%; other with 0%, Wouldn't vote with 3%; neither/other with 6%, 7% said they'd probably (as opposed to definitely) vote for Trump, 12% said they'd probably (as opposed to definitely) vote for Biden, "Someone else" with 13%; "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; no answer with 1%, The Conservative Energy Network primarily supports Republican candidates, Protect Our Care is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation, Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act Organisation, Giffords is a PAC which supports gun control measures, This poll was sponsored by the Senate Majority PAC, which supports Democratic Senate candidates, and Priorities USA, a Democratic super PAC, The 314 Action Fund is a PAC which supports the election of scientists, The poll's sponsor is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation, This poll's sponsor, Protect Our Care, is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation, Nationwide hypothetical polling for the 2020 United States presidential election, Global Marketing Research/FPU/Boston Herald, YouGov/University of Massachusetts Amherst, CNBC/Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies, Public Opinion Strategies/Conservative Energy Network, Hart Research Associates/Protect Our Care, Targoz Market Research/PollSmart Market Research, Survey Sampling International/University of Maryland, Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group, RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News, https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference, Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape/SurveyUSA, Garin-Hart-Yang/Senate Majority PAC/Priorities USA, Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research/Just the News, Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research/Just the News Daily Poll, Hart Research & Associates/Protect Our Care, GS Strategy Group/Patients for Affordable Drugs Now, Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election, Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries, Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries, Opinion polling for the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries, Opinion polling on the Donald Trump administration, General election poll tracker from FiveThirtyEight, 2021 storming of the United States Capitol, Republican reactions to Trump's election fraud claims, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2020_United_States_presidential_election&oldid=999625346, Opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, This page was last edited on 11 January 2021, at 03:37.
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